Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts Southwest monsoon to be “Above Normal” in 2025
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Apr 15, 2025
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IMD attaches a 59% probability to the “Above Normal” outcome, pegged at 105% of LPA with an error of +/-5%, expecting core Monsoon rainfed zone of Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh to receive adequate rainfall. Normalcy is anticipated this year, as - La Nina is fading out, while El Nino is ruled out for this season. ENSO-neutral is likely to be the most dominant category during the monsoon season. This being the First Long Range Forecast released by IMD, the detailed update expected towards end May-25 will be watched much more closely.