Monsoon advancement through the month remained fairly sluggish with all geographical regions with the exception of North & NE ending in a deficit

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Jul 02, 2022

India South-west Monsoon - Hoping for a July resurgence

June-22 with a ‘below normal’ rainfall performance, with cumulative rainfall clocking at 8% below LPA (Long Period Average). Despite a timely onset, monsoon advancement through the month remained fairly sluggish, with all geographical regions with the exception of North & NE ending in a deficit. Kharif sowing after lagging last year’s levels significantly through the first three weeks of Jun-22 saw a belated pick-up in the last week. For all Kharif crops, area sown as of 1st Jul-22 stands only 5.3% lower compared to last year versus a downside of 23.8% as of 24th Jun-22. Jul-22 rainfall has begun on a positive note. A pick-up in rainfall activity primarily in Northwest India since 30th Jun-22 has shrunk the cumulative rainfall deficit to 5% from 10% below LPA (as on 29th Jun). As per IMD’s latest forecast update, monsoon is likely to cover the entire country by 6th Jul-22 with monthly rainfall for Jul-22 over the country as a whole “most likely to be normal”